Only strong retailers will survive
Posted Nov 20th 2008 5:20PM by Lita EpsteinFiled under: Wal-Mart (WMT), Target Corp. (TGT), Best Buy (BBY), Circuit City Stores (CC)
While you probably won't see many more doors closing before the end of the year, expect to see weak retailers facing liquidations if the holiday season is as bad as many predict it will be. We've already seen 22 retailers file for bankruptcy including Steve & Barry's, Circuit City and Linens 'n Things. Some may survive bankruptcy reorganization and live to see another day. Other retailers may not be able to find the funds to refinance and will be forced to liquidate and close.Locally, near me in Florida, only one Circuit City has closed and you don't see much evidence of the bankruptcy. Shelves are not stocked as well and advertising is down, but you'd only know that if you watch the stores closely.The top retailers, such as Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and Best Buy (NYSE: BBY) will survive easily, but many second and third tier retailers will be struggling to make it. Standard & Poors downgraded the credit rating for 53 retailers already this year, which is higher than the total number of downgrades for all of 2007, and it expects to downgrade more before year end. Deloitte Research Chief Economist Carl Steidtmann told Business Week, "It's been a long time since we've seen an environment as challenging as this."Target (NYSE: TGT), Wal-Mart's key national competitor, announced Monday it will begin aggressive price cuts to increase the number of bargains available this holiday season. Its apparel and home products led Target's third-quarter earnings to fall 24 percent. Fourth-quarter earnings will likely be lower as well.Business Week also expected regional department stores, such as Bon-Ton, which bought 142 stores from Saks two years ago, and Dillard's, which has already closed 30 stories, to face significant financial hardship as every retailer fights to be the low-end "go to" for shoppers. While these retailers may succeed in selling inventory, will there be enough profit to make it through another year? Small local retailers will likely face even bigger problems as they try to compete with the big boys on price. Lita Epstein has written more than 25 books including "Reading Financial Reports for Dummies."
HBO CEO Resigning Amid AT&T Restructuring
6 years ago